predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Julian Marquez
9-6 · Orthodox
vs
Sam Alvey
33-18-1 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Middleweight · APEX cage
Result
Julian Marquez def.
SUB · R2 2:07
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
75"
36
Age
40
5.06
SLpM
3.28
45%
Str. Acc.
44%
5.35
SApM
3.63
50%
Str. Def.
52%
0.00
TD Avg.
0.06
54%
TD Def.
82%
2.60
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Julian Marquez
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Sam Alvey
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Julian Marquez
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Julian Marquez finishes 33% · finished 67% (6 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (2-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 40% (2-3)
Sam Alvey finishes 0% · finished 75% (4 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-4)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-3)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-3)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.