predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Grant Dawson
24-3-1 · Switch
vs
Leonardo Santos
18-7-1 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Grant Dawson def.
KO/TKO · R3 4:59
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
75"
32
Age
46
3.14
SLpM
2.82
51%
Str. Acc.
46%
2.14
SApM
3.40
44%
Str. Def.
54%
3.58
TD Avg.
0.88
66%
TD Def.
86%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Grant Dawson
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Leonardo Santos
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Grant Dawson
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Grant Dawson finishes 45% · finished 18% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 89% (8-1)
Vs orthodox 89% (8-1)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)
Leonardo Santos finishes 0% · finished 50% (4 fights)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 25% (1-3)
As the rating underdog 25% (1-3)
With a reach advantage 25% (1-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.