predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Derek Brunson
23-9 · Southpaw
vs
Kevin Holland
29-15 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Middleweight · APEX cage
Result
Derek Brunson def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
81"
42
Age
33
3.51
SLpM
4.24
47%
Str. Acc.
49%
3.05
SApM
3.21
51%
Str. Def.
50%
3.14
TD Avg.
0.79
85%
TD Def.
57%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Kevin Holland
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Kevin Holland
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Kevin Holland
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Derek Brunson finishes 40% · finished 40% (5 fights)
Vs orthodox 100% (2-0)
In 5-round fights 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Kevin Holland finishes 41% · finished 18% (22 fights)
Vs orthodox 64% (7-4)
When younger than opponent 59% (10-7)
As the rating underdog 58% (7-5)
With a reach advantage 55% (12-10)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.