predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Nasrat Haqparast
18-6 · Southpaw
vs
Rafa Garcia
19-4 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Nasrat Haqparast def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
70"
30
Age
31
6.36
SLpM
4.28
45%
Str. Acc.
44%
6.00
SApM
4.42
63%
Str. Def.
61%
0.34
TD Avg.
3.22
86%
TD Def.
77%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Nasrat Haqparast
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Nasrat Haqparast
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Rafa Garcia
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Nasrat Haqparast finishes 10% · finished 10% (10 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (4-0)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)
When younger than opponent 71% (5-2)
Rafa Garcia finishes 18% · finished 9% (11 fights)
Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)
When younger than opponent 67% (6-3)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.