predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Matheus Nicolau
19-6-1 · Orthodox
vs
Manel Kape
23-7 · Southpaw
Flyweight · APEX cage
Result
Matheus Nicolau def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
66"
Reach
68"
33
Age
32
3.31
SLpM
4.68
51%
Str. Acc.
55%
2.98
SApM
3.88
65%
Str. Def.
57%
1.22
TD Avg.
0.36
90%
TD Def.
78%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Manel Kape
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Manel Kape
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Manel Kape
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Matheus Nicolau finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
Manel Kape finishes 55% · finished 0% (11 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
In 5-round fights 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 86% (6-1)
When younger than opponent 75% (6-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.