predicted sports
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Leon Edwards
22-6 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Belal Muhammad
24-6 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Welterweight · APEX cage
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
72"
34
Age
37
2.60
SLpM
4.36
54%
Str. Acc.
42%
2.44
SApM
3.92
52%
Str. Def.
55%
1.25
TD Avg.
1.98
63%
TD Def.
90%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Leon Edwards
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Leon Edwards
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Belal Muhammad
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Leon Edwards finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
In title fights 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Belal Muhammad finishes 10% · finished 0% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.