predicted sports
← UFC 259
Sean Brady
19-2 · Orthodox
vs
Jake Matthews
23-8 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Sean Brady def.
SUB · R3 3:28
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
73"
33
Age
31
4.08
SLpM
3.36
53%
Str. Acc.
44%
2.77
SApM
2.58
59%
Str. Def.
60%
3.58
TD Avg.
1.36
86%
TD Def.
66%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Jake Matthews
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Jake Matthews
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Sean Brady
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Sean Brady finishes 44% · finished 22% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (5-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (4-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In 5-round fights 100% (2-0)
Jake Matthews finishes 27% · finished 18% (11 fights)
With a reach advantage 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 71% (5-2)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (6-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.