predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Rafael Fiziev
14-5 · Switch
vs
Marc Diakiese
17-7 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Rafael Fiziev def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
73"
33
Age
33
4.71
SLpM
2.54
52%
Str. Acc.
40%
4.81
SApM
2.64
50%
Str. Def.
52%
1.00
TD Avg.
3.29
90%
TD Def.
66%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Marc Diakiese
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Marc Diakiese
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Rafael Fiziev
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Rafael Fiziev finishes 36% · finished 18% (11 fights)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
When older than opponent 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (4-2)
In 5-round fights 67% (2-1)
Marc Diakiese finishes 0% · finished 29% (7 fights)
Vs orthodox 60% (3-2)
As the rating underdog 50% (3-3)
With a reach advantage 50% (2-2)
When younger than opponent 33% (2-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.