predicted sports
← UFC 259
Islam Makhachev
28-1 · Southpaw
vs
Drew Dober
29-15 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Lightweight
Result
Islam Makhachev def.
SUB · R3 1:37
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
70"
34
Age
37
2.45
SLpM
4.48
58%
Str. Acc.
41%
1.45
SApM
4.33
61%
Str. Def.
53%
3.10
TD Avg.
0.61
91%
TD Def.
58%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Islam Makhachev
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Islam Makhachev
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Islam Makhachev finishes 80% · finished 0% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (8-0)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (7-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
Drew Dober finishes 50% · finished 33% (12 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.