predicted sports
← UFC 259
Jan Blachowicz
29-11-2 · Orthodox
vs
Israel Adesanya
24-6 · Switch
Light Heavyweight · Title
Result
Jan Blachowicz def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
80"
43
Age
36
3.55
SLpM
4.03
50%
Str. Acc.
48%
3.14
SApM
3.22
52%
Str. Def.
55%
0.98
TD Avg.
0.05
69%
TD Def.
76%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Israel Adesanya
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Israel Adesanya
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Israel Adesanya
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Jan Blachowicz finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
In 5-round fights 75% (3-1)
In title fights 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 60% (3-2)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Israel Adesanya finishes 18% · finished 36% (11 fights)
In title fights 56% (5-4)
When younger than opponent 50% (2-2)
As the rating underdog 50% (5-5)
With a reach advantage 45% (5-6)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.