predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Serghei Spivac
18-6 · Orthodox
vs
Jared Vanderaa
12-10 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Serghei Spivac def.
KO/TKO · R2 4:32
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
80"
31
Age
34
3.57
SLpM
4.96
47%
Str. Acc.
44%
4.23
SApM
5.67
52%
Str. Def.
45%
3.82
TD Avg.
0.18
63%
TD Def.
20%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Serghei Spivac
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Jared Vanderaa
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Serghei Spivac
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Serghei Spivac finishes 42% · finished 25% (12 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (6-2)
When younger than opponent 67% (8-4)
Jared Vanderaa finishes 0% · finished 57% (7 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 20% (1-4)
In the small (APEX) cage 20% (1-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.