← UFC Fight Night
Heavyweight
· APEX cage
Result
Tom Aspinall def.
SUB · R2 1:09
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
77"
33
Age
47
7.63
SLpM
3.82
67%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.62
SApM
3.22
56%
Str. Def.
57%
2.62
TD Avg.
0.37
100%
TD Def.
76%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.20
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Tom Aspinall
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Tom Aspinall
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Tom Aspinall
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Tom Aspinall
finishes 89% · finished 11% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog
100%
(3-0)
In title fights
100%
(2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage
100%
(2-0)
When younger than opponent
88%
(7-1)
Andrei Arlovski
finishes 0% · finished 30% (10 fights)
As the rating favorite
67%
(4-2)
With a reach advantage
67%
(2-1)
When older than opponent
50%
(5-5)
Vs orthodox
50%
(5-5)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.