predicted sports
← UFC 258
Ricky Simon
22-7-1 · Orthodox
vs
Brian Kelleher
24-16 · Switch
Featherweight
Result
Ricky Simon def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
66"
33
Age
39
3.03
SLpM
3.31
42%
Str. Acc.
41%
3.90
SApM
4.59
61%
Str. Def.
54%
4.49
TD Avg.
1.68
76%
TD Def.
60%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Ricky Simon
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Ricky Simon
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Ricky Simon
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
By the Numbers
Ricky Simon finishes 40% · finished 10% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)
With a reach advantage 60% (3-2)
Brian Kelleher finishes 13% · finished 50% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 60% (3-2)
Giving up reach 43% (3-4)
When older than opponent 38% (3-5)
Vs orthodox 33% (2-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.