← UFC 258
Middleweight
Result
Kelvin Gastelum def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
72"
34
Age
37
3.65
SLpM
3.25
42%
Str. Acc.
50%
3.52
SApM
2.98
57%
Str. Def.
59%
1.04
TD Avg.
1.02
60%
TD Def.
59%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.70
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Kelvin Gastelum
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Ian Heinisch
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Kelvin Gastelum
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Kelvin Gastelum
finishes 0% · finished 30% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent
50%
(3-3)
As the rating favorite
50%
(1-1)
Giving up reach
40%
(4-6)
As the rating underdog
38%
(3-5)
Ian Heinisch
finishes 0% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When older than opponent
0%
(0-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.