predicted sports
← UFC 258
Kamaru Usman
21-4 · Switch
vs
Gilbert Burns
22-10 · Orthodox
Welterweight · Title
Result
Kamaru Usman def.
KO/TKO · R3 0:34
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
71"
39
Age
39
4.16
SLpM
3.16
51%
Str. Acc.
48%
2.67
SApM
3.68
55%
Str. Def.
52%
2.79
TD Avg.
2.04
89%
TD Def.
53%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Kamaru Usman
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Kamaru Usman
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Kamaru Usman
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Kamaru Usman finishes 25% · finished 13% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
Vs orthodox 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
In 5-round fights 71% (5-2)
Gilbert Burns finishes 10% · finished 40% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 38% (3-5)
Giving up reach 30% (3-7)
As the rating underdog 22% (2-7)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.