predicted sports
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Beneil Dariush
23-8-1 · Southpaw
vs
Diego Ferreira
19-7 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Beneil Dariush def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
74"
37
Age
41
3.74
SLpM
4.70
49%
Str. Acc.
39%
2.63
SApM
3.46
57%
Str. Def.
55%
2.21
TD Avg.
0.82
82%
TD Def.
57%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Beneil Dariush
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Diego Ferreira
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Beneil Dariush
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Beneil Dariush finishes 11% · finished 44% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
Diego Ferreira finishes 29% · finished 43% (7 fights)
Vs southpaws 50% (2-2)
When older than opponent 29% (2-5)
As the rating underdog 29% (2-5)
With a reach advantage 29% (2-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.