predicted sports
← UFC 330
Edson Barboza
24-14 · Orthodox
vs
Esteban Ribovics
15-3 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Base
Pick: Esteban Ribovics
🔒
Unlock the full model

Sign in to unlock one free pick a day, or go Pro for unlimited access.

Go Pro
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
69"
40
Age
30
4.14
SLpM
7.27
44%
Str. Acc.
43%
4.68
SApM
5.83
55%
Str. Def.
54%
0.43
TD Avg.
0.35
73%
TD Def.
66%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Esteban Ribovics
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Edson Barboza
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Esteban Ribovics
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Edson Barboza finishes 22% · finished 22% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (3-3)
When older than opponent 44% (4-5)
As the rating underdog 43% (3-4)
Esteban Ribovics finishes 14% · finished 14% (7 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.