← UFC 330
Women's Strawweight · Title
Base
Pick: Mackenzie Dern
How it's likely to end
🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro
Tale of the Tape
63"
Reach
63"
33
Age
31
3.47
SLpM
2.71
41%
Str. Acc.
48%
3.93
SApM
2.86
51%
Str. Def.
56%
0.93
TD Avg.
2.76
37%
TD Def.
38%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.90
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
57%
younger fighters win at Women's Strawweight
202 fights · edge Gillian Robertson
54%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Strawweight
181 fights · edge Gillian Robertson
36%
of Women's Strawweight fights end inside the distance
202 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Mackenzie Dern
finishes 25% · finished 8% (12 fights)
When older than opponent
100%
(2-0)
As the rating underdog
83%
(5-1)
Vs orthodox
73%
(8-3)
Giving up reach
71%
(5-2)
Gillian Robertson
finishes 38% · finished 0% (13 fights)
As the rating favorite
100%
(6-0)
Vs orthodox
78%
(7-2)
When younger than opponent
73%
(8-3)
With a reach advantage
67%
(2-1)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.