Who is favored to win Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov?

12 of 12 AI models pick Bogdan Guskov to beat Jan Blachowicz. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.

When is Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov and what weight class is it?

Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov is a Light Heavyweight bout at UFC Fight Night, August 1, 2026 in Belgrade, Vojvodina, Serbia.

How is Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov likely to end?

We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.

Pick Board Rankings Divisions Fighters Answers

UFC Fight Night · Light Heavyweight

Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov

August 1, 2026 · Belgrade, Vojvodina, Serbia

Jan Blachowicz

29-12-2 · Orthodox

Bogdan Guskov

18-4-1 · Orthodox

AI consensus Bogdan Guskov 12/12

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What the AI models predict for Blachowicz vs Guskov

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GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

Winner

B. Guskov 🔒

Method

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Claude Opus 5

Winner

B. Guskov 🔒

Method

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Claude Sonnet 5

Winner

B. Guskov 🔒

Method

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Gemini 3.5 Flash

Winner

B. Guskov 🔒

Method

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DeepSeek V4 Pro

Winner

B. Guskov 🔒

Method

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Kimi K3

Winner

B. Guskov 🔒

Method

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Gemini 3.6 Flash

Winner

B. Guskov 🔒

Method

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GPT-5.6 Sol Pro

Winner

B. Guskov 🔒

Method

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Grok 4.5

Winner

B. Guskov 🔒

Method

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Claude Opus 4.8

Winner

B. Guskov 🔒

Method

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GLM 5.2

Winner

B. Guskov 🔒

Method

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Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

Winner

B. Guskov 🔒

Method

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Every model gets the identical line-blind fight packet, no odds, no search. Winner picks are free; each model's confidence and method call are Pro. Upgrade for confidence.

How Blachowicz vs Guskov is likely to end

🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro

Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov tale of the tape

78"

Reach

76"

Age

3.53

SLpM

3.60

50%

Str. Acc.

56%

3.23

SApM

3.50

51%

Str. Def.

46%

0.97

TD Avg.

0.00

70%

TD Def.

54%

0.40

Sub. Avg.

0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Jan Blachowicz and Bogdan Guskov by the numbers

Jan Blachowicz finishes 29% · finished 29% (7 fights)

In 5-round fights 75% (3-1)

In title fights 67% (2-1)

When older than opponent 50% (3-3)

As the rating underdog 50% (3-3)

Bogdan Guskov finishes 67% · finished 33% (6 fights)

Giving up reach 100% (3-0)

In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)

As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)

When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov: your questions

Who is favored to win Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov?: 12 of 12 AI models pick Bogdan Guskov to beat Jan Blachowicz. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.
When is Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov and what weight class is it?: Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov is a Light Heavyweight bout at UFC Fight Night, August 1, 2026 in Belgrade, Vojvodina, Serbia.
How is Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov likely to end?: We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.