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Light Heavyweight
Base
Pick: Bogdan Guskov
How it's likely to end
🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
76"
43
Age
33
3.55
SLpM
4.57
50%
Str. Acc.
55%
3.14
SApM
4.09
52%
Str. Def.
44%
0.98
TD Avg.
0.00
69%
TD Def.
57%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.70
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Bogdan Guskov
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Jan Blachowicz
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Bogdan Guskov
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
By the Numbers
Jan Blachowicz
finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
In 5-round fights
75%
(3-1)
In title fights
67%
(2-1)
When older than opponent
60%
(3-2)
As the rating underdog
60%
(3-2)
Bogdan Guskov
finishes 80% · finished 20% (5 fights)
Giving up reach
100%
(3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage
100%
(2-0)
When younger than opponent
75%
(3-1)
As the rating favorite
75%
(3-1)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.