← UFC Fight Night
Lightweight
Base
Pick: Ismael Bonfim
How it's likely to end
🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
74"
30
Age
28
5.51
SLpM
4.07
54%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.71
SApM
5.29
65%
Str. Def.
61%
1.06
TD Avg.
2.22
76%
TD Def.
0%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Axel Sola
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Axel Sola
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Ismael Bonfim
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Ismael Bonfim
finishes 20% · finished 60% (5 fights)
As the rating underdog
50%
(2-2)
Vs orthodox
50%
(1-1)
Giving up reach
50%
(2-2)
When younger than opponent
40%
(2-3)
Axel Sola
finishes 50% · finished 0% (2 fights)
When younger than opponent
50%
(1-1)
As the rating favorite
50%
(1-1)
Vs orthodox
50%
(1-1)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.