Who is favored to win Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez?

12 of 12 AI models pick Umar Nurmagomedov to beat David Martinez. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.

When is Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez and what weight class is it?

Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez is a Bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Night, July 25, 2026 in Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

How is Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez likely to end?

We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.

Pick Board Rankings Divisions Fighters Answers

UFC Fight Night · Bantamweight

Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez

July 25, 2026 · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Umar Nurmagomedov

20-1 · Orthodox

David Martinez

14-1 · Orthodox

AI consensus Umar Nurmagomedov 12/12

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What the AI models predict for Nurmagomedov vs Martinez

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Gemini 3.6 Flash

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

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Gemini 3.5 Flash

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

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GLM 5.2

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

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Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

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Claude Opus 4.8

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

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DeepSeek V4 Pro

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

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Kimi K3

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

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Claude Sonnet 5

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

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GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

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GPT-5.6 Sol Pro

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

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Grok 4.5

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

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Claude Opus 5

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

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Every model gets the identical line-blind fight packet, no odds, no search. Winner picks are free; each model's confidence and method call are Pro. Upgrade for confidence.

How Nurmagomedov vs Martinez is likely to end

🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro

Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez tale of the tape

69"

Reach

67"

Age

3.86

SLpM

4.82

56%

Str. Acc.

46%

1.86

SApM

2.90

61%

Str. Def.

69%

4.03

TD Avg.

0.60

79%

TD Def.

100%

0.20

Sub. Avg.

0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Umar Nurmagomedov and David Martinez by the numbers

Umar Nurmagomedov finishes 33% · finished 0% (9 fights)

As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)

Giving up reach 100% (2-0)

In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)

When younger than opponent 88% (7-1)

David Martinez finishes 33% · finished 0% (3 fights)

When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)

As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)

Vs orthodox 100% (2-0)

Giving up reach 100% (3-0)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez: your questions

Who is favored to win Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez?: 12 of 12 AI models pick Umar Nurmagomedov to beat David Martinez. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.
When is Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez and what weight class is it?: Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez is a Bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Night, July 25, 2026 in Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
How is Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez likely to end?: We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.