← UFC Fight Night
Middleweight
Base
72%
28%
Dricus Du PlessisKamaru Usman
Base makes Dricus Du Plessis a clear favorite at 72%.
How it's likely to end
🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
76"
32
Age
39
5.18
SLpM
4.16
48%
Str. Acc.
51%
4.33
SApM
2.67
52%
Str. Def.
55%
2.22
TD Avg.
2.79
34%
TD Def.
89%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.10
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Dricus Du Plessis
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Dricus Du Plessis
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Dricus Du Plessis
finishes 60% · finished 0% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(9-0)
As the rating underdog
100%
(2-0)
Vs southpaws
100%
(2-0)
Giving up reach
100%
(2-0)
Kamaru Usman
finishes 25% · finished 13% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(3-0)
Vs orthodox
80%
(4-1)
As the rating favorite
75%
(3-1)
In 5-round fights
71%
(5-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.