predicted sports
← UFC 257
Arman Tsarukyan
23-3 · Orthodox
vs
Matt Frevola
11-6-1 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Arman Tsarukyan def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
71"
29
Age
36
3.85
SLpM
3.30
50%
Str. Acc.
39%
1.80
SApM
3.76
54%
Str. Def.
56%
3.26
TD Avg.
2.34
75%
TD Def.
40%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Arman Tsarukyan
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Arman Tsarukyan
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Arman Tsarukyan
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Arman Tsarukyan finishes 50% · finished 0% (10 fights)
Vs orthodox 100% (6-0)
Giving up reach 100% (4-0)
When younger than opponent 90% (9-1)
As the rating favorite 89% (8-1)
Matt Frevola finishes 38% · finished 38% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.