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Welterweight
Result
Tahir Abdullayev def.
KO/TKO · R3 4:28
Base called it (52% Abdullayev)
The Panel
two analysts call every fight
S
Scoop
Works the sources
Pick · fight week
Tahir Abdullayev 70%
✓ called it
“Word is the Brazilian is tough, but he's a lightweight playing in a tank's division in the tank's hometown. Abdullayev gets it done.”
🔒 Method call & full breakdown with Pro
V
Vega
Runs the numbers
Pick · fight week
Jefferson Nascimento 52%
✗ missed
“Jefferson Nascimento stays undefeated with a disciplined, grinding performance against the hometown fighter.”
🔒 Method call & full breakdown with ProFree pick & take; the method call and full writeup are Pro. Each analyst also calls every fight ~1 week out.
How it's likely to end
🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
70"
29
Age
27
2.56
SLpM
2.42
42%
Str. Acc.
48%
2.42
SApM
2.56
51%
Str. Def.
57%
2.07
TD Avg.
0.00
100%
TD Def.
66%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Jefferson Nascimento
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Tahir Abdullayev
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Tahir Abdullayev
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights