← UFC Fight Night
Bantamweight
Result
Jean Matsumoto def.
U-DEC
Base missed this one (44% Matsumoto)
The Panel
two analysts call every fight
S
Scoop
Works the sources
Pick · fight week
Jean Matsumoto 68%
✓ called it
“Word is Matsumoto's pace and ground game are gonna be way too much for Almakhan to handle.”
🔒 Method call & full breakdown with Pro
V
Vega
Runs the numbers
Pick · fight week
Jean Matsumoto 62%
✓ called it
“Matsumoto's grappling control and durability will neutralize Almakhan's power, grinding out a clear decision.”
🔒 Method call & full breakdown with ProFree pick & take; the method call and full writeup are Pro. Each analyst also calls every fight ~1 week out.
How it's likely to end
🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro
Tale of the Tape
68"
Reach
68"
26
Age
28
5.35
SLpM
2.58
38%
Str. Acc.
39%
5.29
SApM
4.23
49%
Str. Def.
52%
2.85
TD Avg.
0.00
56%
TD Def.
59%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Jean Matsumoto
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Jean Matsumoto
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
By the Numbers
Jean Matsumoto
finishes 17% · finished 0% (6 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage
75%
(3-1)
When younger than opponent
67%
(4-2)
As the rating favorite
67%
(2-1)
As the rating underdog
67%
(2-1)
Bekzat Almakhan
finishes 25% · finished 0% (4 fights)
When younger than opponent
33%
(1-2)
As the rating underdog
33%
(1-2)
Vs orthodox
25%
(1-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.