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Welterweight
Result
Daniil Donchenko def.
KO/TKO · R2 1:35
Base called it (65% Donchenko)
The Panel
two analysts call every fight
S
Scoop
Works the sources
Pick · fight week
Daniil Donchenko 85%
✓ called it
“Word is Berggren is game, but he's a short-notice debutant stepping into deep water. Donchenko's power and pressure will be way too much.”
🔒 Method call & full breakdown with Pro
V
Vega
Runs the numbers
Pick · fight week
Daniil Donchenko 85%
✓ called it
“Donchenko's proven power and experience overwhelm the untested Berggren early.”
🔒 Method call & full breakdown with ProFree pick & take; the method call and full writeup are Pro. Each analyst also calls every fight ~1 week out.
How it's likely to end
🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
75"
24
Age
26
8.07
SLpM
3.49
62%
Str. Acc.
35%
2.80
SApM
10.78
70%
Str. Def.
33%
0.58
TD Avg.
0.00
75%
TD Def.
0%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Daniil Donchenko
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Theodor Berggren
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Daniil Donchenko
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Daniil Donchenko
finishes 67% · finished 0% (3 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(3-0)
As the rating favorite
100%
(2-0)
Vs orthodox
100%
(2-0)
Giving up reach
100%
(2-0)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.