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Middleweight
Result
Ikram Aliskerov def.
U-DEC
Base called it (60% Aliskerov)
The Panel
two analysts call every fight
S
Scoop
Works the sources
Pick · fight week
Ikram Aliskerov 78%
✓ called it
“Word from Baku is Ferreira's power won't be enough to stop the Sambo machine. Aliskerov gets it done.”
🔒 Method call & full breakdown with Pro
V
Vega
Runs the numbers
Pick · fight week
Ikram Aliskerov 65%
✓ called it
“Aliskerov's power and pressure will overwhelm Ferreira early — expect a statement KO.”
🔒 Method call & full breakdown with ProFree pick & take; the method call and full writeup are Pro. Each analyst also calls every fight ~1 week out.
How it's likely to end
🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
72"
33
Age
33
5.56
SLpM
3.27
60%
Str. Acc.
49%
4.01
SApM
3.75
45%
Str. Def.
51%
3.82
TD Avg.
1.00
100%
TD Def.
50%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.60
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Ikram Aliskerov
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Ikram Aliskerov
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Ikram Aliskerov
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Ikram Aliskerov
finishes 50% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog
100%
(3-0)
Giving up reach
100%
(2-0)
When younger than opponent
83%
(5-1)
Vs orthodox
80%
(4-1)
Brunno Ferreira
finishes 50% · finished 30% (10 fights)
As the rating favorite
71%
(5-2)
When younger than opponent
67%
(4-2)
Vs southpaws
67%
(2-1)
Vs orthodox
57%
(4-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.