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Middleweight
Result
Shara Magomedov def.
U-DEC
Base called it (61% Magomedov)
The Panel
two analysts call every fight
S
Scoop
Works the sources
Pick · fight week
Shara Magomedov 80%
✓ called it
“Word is Pereira's chin is toast after those back-to-back KOs. Shara's a shark who smells blood, and he's got the hometown crowd. Expect a statement.”
🔒 Method call & full breakdown with Pro
V
Vega
Runs the numbers
Pick · fight week
Shara Magomedov 65%
✓ called it
“Magomedov's precision striking and durability edge will overwhelm Pereira's erratic pace—Bullet finds the mark.”
🔒 Method call & full breakdown with ProFree pick & take; the method call and full writeup are Pro. Each analyst also calls every fight ~1 week out.
How it's likely to end
🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
73"
32
Age
32
5.55
SLpM
4.28
62%
Str. Acc.
51%
3.62
SApM
4.32
45%
Str. Def.
50%
0.00
TD Avg.
1.11
73%
TD Def.
75%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.60
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Shara Magomedov
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Shara Magomedov
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Shara Magomedov
finishes 29% · finished 0% (7 fights)
Vs orthodox
100%
(5-0)
When younger than opponent
83%
(5-1)
As the rating favorite
83%
(5-1)
Giving up reach
80%
(4-1)
Michel Pereira
finishes 31% · finished 15% (13 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage
80%
(4-1)
When older than opponent
75%
(6-2)
As the rating favorite
70%
(7-3)
Giving up reach
70%
(7-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.