predicted sports
← UFC 257
Michael Chandler
23-11 · Orthodox
vs
Dan Hooker
24-14 · Switch
Lightweight
Result
Michael Chandler def.
KO/TKO · R1 2:30
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
75"
40
Age
36
3.91
SLpM
4.82
49%
Str. Acc.
48%
4.51
SApM
4.94
43%
Str. Def.
49%
1.88
TD Avg.
0.68
61%
TD Def.
77%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Dan Hooker
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Dan Hooker
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Dan Hooker
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Michael Chandler finishes 25% · finished 50% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 29% (2-5)
As the rating underdog 17% (1-5)
Vs orthodox 17% (1-5)
Dan Hooker finishes 10% · finished 50% (10 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (4-4)
Vs southpaws 50% (4-4)
As the rating underdog 40% (4-6)
With a reach advantage 33% (3-6)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.