predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Alessandro Costa
16-5 · Orthodox
vs
Matt Schnell
17-11 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Catch Weight · APEX cage
Result
Alessandro Costa def.
KO/TKO · R1 2:28
Tale of the Tape
67"
Reach
70"
30
Age
36
3.86
SLpM
4.05
46%
Str. Acc.
40%
3.70
SApM
4.18
56%
Str. Def.
54%
0.77
TD Avg.
0.59
86%
TD Def.
43%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
1.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Alessandro Costa
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge Matt Schnell
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge Alessandro Costa
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Alessandro Costa finishes 57% · finished 29% (7 fights)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 60% (3-2)
Matt Schnell finishes 11% · finished 67% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 40% (2-3)
Vs southpaws 33% (1-2)
As the rating underdog 29% (2-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.