predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Bryce Mitchell
19-4 · Southpaw
vs
Santiago Luna
8-1 · Orthodox
Bantamweight · APEX cage
Result
Bryce Mitchell def.
SUB · R3 4:52
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
74"
31
Age
21
2.19
SLpM
4.74
59%
Str. Acc.
53%
1.51
SApM
2.76
58%
Str. Def.
67%
3.12
TD Avg.
2.30
38%
TD Def.
57%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.90

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Santiago Luna
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Santiago Luna
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Bryce Mitchell
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Bryce Mitchell finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
Giving up reach 100% (4-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 83% (5-1)
As the rating underdog 71% (5-2)
Santiago Luna finishes 33% · finished 33% (3 fights)
Vs orthodox 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.