← UFC Fight Night
Lightweight
· APEX cage
Result
Tom Nolan def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
75"
26
Age
29
4.84
SLpM
2.68
45%
Str. Acc.
52%
3.74
SApM
1.58
48%
Str. Def.
63%
1.08
TD Avg.
1.86
58%
TD Def.
70%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.50
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Tom Nolan
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Fares Ziam
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Tom Nolan
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Tom Nolan
finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog
100%
(3-0)
When younger than opponent
83%
(5-1)
Vs orthodox
83%
(5-1)
With a reach advantage
75%
(3-1)
Fares Ziam
finishes 20% · finished 10% (10 fights)
As the rating underdog
100%
(5-0)
Vs orthodox
100%
(6-0)
When younger than opponent
89%
(8-1)
With a reach advantage
78%
(7-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.