predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Ivan Erslan
15-6 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Tuco Tokkos
11-6 · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Ivan Erslan def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
76"
34
Age
36
2.53
SLpM
2.59
49%
Str. Acc.
41%
4.57
SApM
3.70
54%
Str. Def.
46%
0.93
TD Avg.
2.87
70%
TD Def.
33%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Ivan Erslan
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Tuco Tokkos
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Tuco Tokkos
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Ivan Erslan finishes 0% · finished 25% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
Giving up reach 25% (1-3)
When older than opponent 0% (0-3)
Tuco Tokkos finishes 25% · finished 25% (4 fights)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 25% (1-3)
Vs orthodox 25% (1-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.