predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Arnold Allen
21-4 · Southpaw
vs
Melquizael Costa
26-8 · Southpaw
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Arnold Allen def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
71"
32
Age
29
3.52
SLpM
4.29
43%
Str. Acc.
47%
3.15
SApM
3.19
60%
Str. Def.
50%
1.24
TD Avg.
1.53
73%
TD Def.
50%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Melquizael Costa
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Melquizael Costa
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Arnold Allen
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Arnold Allen finishes 25% · finished 0% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
Giving up reach 83% (5-1)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Melquizael Costa finishes 40% · finished 20% (10 fights)
Vs orthodox 86% (6-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (6-3)
As the rating underdog 67% (4-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.