Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa Prediction & Pick (UFC Fight Night) | Predicted Sports
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Pro
UFC Fight Night · Featherweight · APEX

Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa

May 16, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

AA
Arnold Allen
21-4 · Southpaw
vs
MC
Melquizael Costa
26-8 · Southpaw
Result
Arnold Allen def. Melquizael Costa
U-DEC

Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa tale of the tape

70"
Reach
71"
32
Age
29
3.52
SLpM
4.29
43%
Str. Acc.
47%
3.15
SApM
3.19
60%
Str. Def.
50%
1.24
TD Avg.
1.53
73%
TD Def.
50%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa by the numbers

Arnold Allen finishes 25% · finished 0% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
Giving up reach 83% (5-1)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Melquizael Costa finishes 40% · finished 20% (10 fights)
Vs orthodox 86% (6-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (6-3)
As the rating underdog 67% (4-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa: your questions

Who won Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa?
Arnold Allen won by U-DEC at UFC Fight Night.
When is Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa and what weight class is it?
Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa is a Featherweight bout at UFC Fight Night, May 16, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.
How is Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa likely to end?
The fight ended by U-DEC.