predicted sports
← UFC 328
Jim Miller
39-19 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Jared Gordon
21-9 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Jim Miller def.
SUB · R1 3:29
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
68"
42
Age
37
2.92
SLpM
5.57
42%
Str. Acc.
53%
3.43
SApM
4.11
56%
Str. Def.
55%
1.49
TD Avg.
1.91
47%
TD Def.
60%
1.70
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Jared Gordon
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Jim Miller
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Jim Miller
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Jim Miller finishes 58% · finished 0% (12 fights)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (4-2)
When older than opponent 60% (6-4)
Jared Gordon finishes 18% · finished 27% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 75% (6-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.