Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki Prediction & Pick (UFC 328) | Predicted Sports
predicted sports
Pro
UFC 328 · Lightweight

Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki

May 9, 2026 · Newark, New Jersey, USA

GD
Grant Dawson
24-3-1 · Switch
vs
MR
Mateusz Rebecki
21-5 · Southpaw
Result
Grant Dawson def. Mateusz Rebecki
SUB · R3 4:42

Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki tale of the tape

72"
Reach
66"
32
Age
33
3.14
SLpM
5.28
51%
Str. Acc.
49%
2.14
SApM
4.19
44%
Str. Def.
54%
3.58
TD Avg.
3.05
66%
TD Def.
53%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki by the numbers

Grant Dawson finishes 45% · finished 18% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 89% (8-1)
Vs orthodox 89% (8-1)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)
Mateusz Rebecki finishes 33% · finished 22% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (4-2)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Giving up reach 56% (5-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki: your questions

Who won Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki?
Grant Dawson won by SUB · R3 4:42 at UFC 328.
When is Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki and what weight class is it?
Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki is a Lightweight bout at UFC 328, May 9, 2026 in Newark, New Jersey, USA.
How is Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki likely to end?
The fight ended by SUB · R3 4:42.