predicted sports
← UFC 328
Sean Strickland
31-7 · Orthodox
vs
Khamzat Chimaev
15-1 · Orthodox
Middleweight · Title
Result
Sean Strickland def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
75"
35
Age
32
5.98
SLpM
4.01
42%
Str. Acc.
54%
4.53
SApM
2.98
60%
Str. Def.
52%
0.66
TD Avg.
5.32
68%
TD Def.
87%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
1.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Khamzat Chimaev
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Sean Strickland
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Sean Strickland
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Sean Strickland finishes 20% · finished 7% (15 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (6-0)
Vs orthodox 90% (9-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 88% (7-1)
When younger than opponent 75% (6-2)
Khamzat Chimaev finishes 60% · finished 0% (10 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 89% (8-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.