predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Colby Thicknesse
9-1 · Orthodox
vs
Vince Morales
16-11 · Orthodox
Bantamweight
Result
Colby Thicknesse def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
70"
27
Age
35
3.24
SLpM
3.54
41%
Str. Acc.
37%
2.93
SApM
3.91
54%
Str. Def.
54%
0.67
TD Avg.
0.71
33%
TD Def.
63%
1.70
Sub. Avg.
0.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Colby Thicknesse
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Vince Morales
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Colby Thicknesse
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
By the Numbers
Colby Thicknesse finishes 0% · finished 0% (3 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
Vince Morales finishes 13% · finished 0% (8 fights)
Vs orthodox 40% (2-3)
With a reach advantage 40% (2-3)
As the rating favorite 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 25% (2-6)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.