predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Steve Erceg
14-4 · Orthodox
vs
Tim Elliott
22-14-1 · Southpaw
Flyweight
Result
Steve Erceg def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
68"
Reach
66"
30
Age
39
4.64
SLpM
3.51
47%
Str. Acc.
43%
4.07
SApM
3.00
55%
Str. Def.
56%
1.13
TD Avg.
3.61
67%
TD Def.
59%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Steve Erceg
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Steve Erceg
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Steve Erceg
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Steve Erceg finishes 13% · finished 13% (8 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
Tim Elliott finishes 22% · finished 11% (9 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 75% (3-1)
Giving up reach 75% (6-2)
When older than opponent 67% (6-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.