predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Francis Marshall
10-3 · Orthodox
vs
Lucas Brennan
11-3 · Southpaw
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Francis Marshall def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
72"
27
Age
26
3.19
SLpM
0.60
34%
Str. Acc.
25%
3.45
SApM
2.20
55%
Str. Def.
52%
2.71
TD Avg.
0.00
88%
TD Def.
33%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
1.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Lucas Brennan
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Francis Marshall
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Francis Marshall finishes 29% · finished 14% (7 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.