predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jackson McVey
7-2 · Southpaw
vs
Sedriques Dumas
10-5 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Middleweight · APEX cage
Result
Jackson McVey def.
SUB · R1 2:14
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
79"
27
Age
30
6.51
SLpM
1.97
69%
Str. Acc.
44%
3.37
SApM
2.64
23%
Str. Def.
53%
0.00
TD Avg.
1.30
0%
TD Def.
33%
1.20
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Jackson McVey
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Sedriques Dumas
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Jackson McVey
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Jackson McVey finishes 33% · finished 67% (3 fights)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
Sedriques Dumas finishes 0% · finished 63% (8 fights)
Vs orthodox 60% (3-2)
When younger than opponent 50% (3-3)
As the rating favorite 40% (2-3)
With a reach advantage 38% (3-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.