predicted sports
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Rafa Garcia
19-4 · Orthodox
vs
Alexander Hernandez
18-9 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Rafa Garcia def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
72"
31
Age
33
4.28
SLpM
4.23
44%
Str. Acc.
40%
4.42
SApM
4.45
61%
Str. Def.
59%
3.22
TD Avg.
1.05
77%
TD Def.
68%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Rafa Garcia
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Alexander Hernandez
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Rafa Garcia
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Rafa Garcia finishes 18% · finished 9% (11 fights)
Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)
When younger than opponent 67% (6-3)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)
Alexander Hernandez finishes 31% · finished 15% (13 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 60% (6-4)
As the rating underdog 57% (4-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.