predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Aljamain Sterling
26-5 · Orthodox
vs
Youssef Zalal
18-6-1 · Switch
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Aljamain Sterling def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
72"
36
Age
29
4.26
SLpM
2.78
52%
Str. Acc.
50%
2.15
SApM
1.79
59%
Str. Def.
64%
2.54
TD Avg.
1.84
44%
TD Def.
55%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
1.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Youssef Zalal
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Youssef Zalal
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Aljamain Sterling
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Aljamain Sterling finishes 11% · finished 11% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (5-0)
In 5-round fights 83% (5-1)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
Youssef Zalal finishes 36% · finished 0% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 70% (7-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 63% (5-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.