John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin Prediction & Pick (UFC Fight Night) | Predicted Sports
predicted sports
Pro
UFC Fight Night ยท Catch Weight

John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin

April 18, 2026 ยท Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada

JC
John Castaneda
21-8-1 ยท Switch
vs
Mark Vologdin headshot
Mark Vologdin
12-5-2 ยท Orthodox
๐Ÿ”’
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๐Ÿค– The AI field reports during fight week, before the card locks. Check back then.

John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin tale of the tape

71"
Reach
65"
34
Age
26
4.95
SLpM
5.56
51%
Str. Acc.
45%
5.07
SApM
7.93
54%
Str. Def.
45%
1.49
TD Avg.
1.33
75%
TD Def.
50%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

๐Ÿ”’ League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

John Castaneda and Mark Vologdin by the numbers

John Castaneda finishes 25% ยท finished 13% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (4-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin: your questions

When is John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin and what weight class is it?
John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin is a Catch Weight bout at UFC Fight Night, April 18, 2026 in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
How is John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin likely to end?
We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.