predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
John Castaneda
21-8-1 · Switch
vs
Mark Vologdin
12-4-2 · Orthodox
Catch Weight
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
65"
34
Age
26
4.95
SLpM
6.93
51%
Str. Acc.
47%
5.07
SApM
10.00
54%
Str. Def.
40%
1.49
TD Avg.
0.50
75%
TD Def.
57%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Mark Vologdin
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge John Castaneda
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
By the Numbers
John Castaneda finishes 25% · finished 13% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (4-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.