predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jai Herbert
14-6-1 · Orthodox
vs
Mandel Nallo
14-4 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Jai Herbert def.
KO/TKO · R1 2:05
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
75"
38
Age
36
3.19
SLpM
8.26
41%
Str. Acc.
58%
3.34
SApM
5.03
52%
Str. Def.
54%
0.42
TD Avg.
0.00
66%
TD Def.
100%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Mandel Nallo
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Jai Herbert
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Jai Herbert
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Jai Herbert finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 44% (4-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.