predicted sports
← UFC 327
Vicente Luque
24-12-1 · Orthodox
vs
Kelvin Gastelum
21-11 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Middleweight
Result
Vicente Luque def.
SUB · R1 4:08
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
71"
34
Age
34
4.80
SLpM
3.65
50%
Str. Acc.
42%
5.24
SApM
3.52
51%
Str. Def.
57%
0.89
TD Avg.
1.04
59%
TD Def.
60%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Vicente Luque
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Vicente Luque
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Vicente Luque
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Vicente Luque finishes 45% · finished 27% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (6-2)
With a reach advantage 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Vs southpaws 60% (3-2)
Kelvin Gastelum finishes 0% · finished 30% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (3-3)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 40% (4-6)
As the rating underdog 38% (3-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.