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Chris Padilla vs MarQuel Mederos tale of the tape
74"
Reach
69"
30
Age
29
6.19
SLpM
5.46
54%
Str. Acc.
58%
4.88
SApM
4.58
49%
Str. Def.
52%
1.13
TD Avg.
0.23
80%
TD Def.
82%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with ProChris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos by the numbers
Chris Padilla
finishes 75% · finished 0% (4 fights)
When older than opponent
100%
(3-0)
As the rating favorite
100%
(3-0)
Vs orthodox
100%
(4-0)
With a reach advantage
100%
(3-0)
MarQuel Mederos
finishes 0% · finished 0% (3 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(3-0)
As the rating favorite
100%
(3-0)
Vs orthodox
100%
(2-0)
Giving up reach
100%
(2-0)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.
Chris Padilla vs MarQuel Mederos: your questions
- When is Chris Padilla vs MarQuel Mederos and what weight class is it?
- Chris Padilla vs MarQuel Mederos is a Lightweight bout at UFC 327, April 11, 2026 in Miami, Florida, USA.
- How is Chris Padilla vs MarQuel Mederos likely to end?
- We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.