predicted sports
← UFC 327
Mateusz Gamrot
26-4 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Esteban Ribovics
15-3 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Mateusz Gamrot def.
SUB · R2 4:19
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
69"
35
Age
30
3.21
SLpM
7.27
51%
Str. Acc.
43%
2.81
SApM
5.83
60%
Str. Def.
54%
5.22
TD Avg.
0.35
83%
TD Def.
66%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Esteban Ribovics
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Mateusz Gamrot
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Mateusz Gamrot
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Mateusz Gamrot finishes 38% · finished 8% (13 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (6-0)
When older than opponent 83% (5-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
Esteban Ribovics finishes 14% · finished 14% (7 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.