predicted sports
← UFC 327
Paulo Costa
16-4 · Orthodox
vs
Azamat Murzakanov
16-1 · Southpaw
Light Heavyweight
Result
Paulo Costa def.
KO/TKO · R3 1:23
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
71"
35
Age
37
6.15
SLpM
4.40
59%
Str. Acc.
56%
5.96
SApM
3.20
49%
Str. Def.
56%
0.30
TD Avg.
0.68
77%
TD Def.
88%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Paulo Costa
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Paulo Costa
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Azamat Murzakanov
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
By the Numbers
Paulo Costa finishes 14% · finished 14% (7 fights)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 43% (3-4)
When younger than opponent 40% (2-3)
Azamat Murzakanov finishes 71% · finished 14% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 86% (6-1)
Giving up reach 86% (6-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.