predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Alessandro Costa
16-5 · Orthodox
vs
Stewart Nicoll
8-3 · Orthodox
Flyweight · APEX cage
Result
Alessandro Costa def.
KO/TKO · R2 4:56
Tale of the Tape
67"
Reach
65"
30
Age
30
3.86
SLpM
3.63
46%
Str. Acc.
39%
3.70
SApM
5.84
56%
Str. Def.
49%
0.77
TD Avg.
1.63
86%
TD Def.
28%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Stewart Nicoll
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Alessandro Costa
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Alessandro Costa
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Alessandro Costa finishes 57% · finished 29% (7 fights)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 60% (3-2)
Stewart Nicoll finishes 0% · finished 67% (3 fights)
When younger than opponent 0% (0-2)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-3)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-3)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.